card generated 6 min ago · 0 matches priced · model prob is for the first listed team · refreshes hourly
none this cycle
VLR.gg player-strength model (rating2 × K/D × FK/FD × win-mult × agent coeff; recency + tier + map-pool weighted; synergy by roster tenure; format-aware k 3.5/4.0/5.0). Backtested edge is tier-2 only (+22% vs PM closes, n=416). Rules: tier-2 bet ≥5% edge; tier-1/Champions/GC only ≥5% on an underdog; never buy under 0.15; China scene always skipped. GC fade-the-favorite flags are 0-for-4 historically — treat GC calls with suspicion. PM = CLOB mid; it counts as a price only when spread < 2¢ and >$100 rests within 4¢ of the touch (same gate as CS2/tennis); a * marks gated display-only quotes, re-checked hourly. Stakes are 1/8-Kelly on a fixed 100u non-compounding bankroll (same as CS2/tennis); sized ≤0.5u = no bet. Manual lineup overrides live in roster_overrides.json on the box. Recheck the live PM price before betting.