Models — Paper Trading · LoL

card 2026-11-12 15:50 UTC (6 min ago) · Polymarket books 2026-11-12 15:34 UTC · ratings run f0991055 (2026-11-12) · series δ 0.170 · 2 matches in the next 48h, 2 with a Polymarket quote that counts

Scoreboard traded matches only (68 of 359 scored since 2026-09-08) · log-loss where the book actually bet, as on the CS2 tab · model = price published pre-start · close needs ≥ $500 near the touch

price sourcelog-lossaccuracyn
polymarket close0.425074.6%63
model (logged)0.515770.2%57
model (backtest as-of)0.453578.3%60
50/50 blend (backtest)0.432780.0%60

closing-line value on the model's side: +3.05 pp mean, 50% positive, n 48 · the Unibet benchmark (2026 closes, Shin de-vig): all: Unibet 0.5433 vs model 0.5602 (n 537) · tier-1 + intl: Unibet 0.5352 vs model 0.5710 (n 424)

Paper book a bet is placed the first 15-min cycle its quote clears every gate (counted, edge ≥ 5% vs the ask, ≥ $500, not started, not thin), then held at that ask · 1/8-Kelly capped 5u · 100u · fees not modelled

placedpendinggradedhitsstakedPnLROICLV vs close
8226943227.8u+39.68u+17.4%+2.6 pp (n 57)
+14.2u

Paper sim, retired 2026-09-30 the record before the paper book · 2026-09-10 → 2026-09-30 · side = model vs Polymarket mid at log time, edge ≥ 5%, settled at that mid (no ask, depth or spread gates) · 1/8-Kelly capped 5u · 100u · rebuilt from the old code, not counted above

betshitsstakedPnLROI
6443204.3u+106.98u+52.4%
+107.0u
all 64 sim bets
start (UTC)leaguematchsidemodelpricestakeresult
09-30 09:00WSCIGalions vs T1 Esports AcademyGalions61.5%0.414.4umiss -4.41u
09-30 06:00WSCISolary vs DNS ChallengersSolary89.2%0.715.0uHIT +1.99u
09-29 21:00CBLOL PromotionEstral Esports vs 9z Globant9z Globant9.8%0.040.7umiss -0.69u
09-29 18:00EMEA MasterseSuba vs White DragonsWhite Dragons79.5%0.525.0umiss -5.00u
09-29 18:00EMEA MastersHeretics Academy vs Karmine Corp BlueHeretics Academy44.8%0.381.5umiss -1.46u
09-29 18:00EMEA MastersThe Secret Club vs ForsakenThe Secret Club28.6%0.231.0uHIT +3.37u
09-29 17:00EMEA MastersOtter Side vs Kaufland Hangry KnightsKaufland Hangry Knights89.0%0.824.6uHIT +0.98u
09-29 17:00EMEA MastersTeam Phantasma vs LODISLODIS67.4%0.592.5uHIT +1.67u
09-29 16:00EMEA MastersUnicorns of Love Sexy Edition vs JSK GamefyUnicorns of Love Sexy Edition84.8%0.695.0uHIT +2.19u
09-29 16:00EMEA MastersGamespace M.C. vs Frites Esports ClubFrites Esports Club70.0%0.603.0uHIT +1.96u
09-28 19:00EMEA MastersForsaken vs Barça EsportsBarça Esports72.9%0.682.1uHIT +1.01u
09-28 19:00EMEA MastersGamespace M.C. vs The Secret ClubThe Secret Club34.2%0.261.5umiss -1.46u
09-28 18:00EMEA MastersColossal Gaming vs White DragonsWhite Dragons62.9%0.464.0umiss -3.99u
09-28 18:00EMEA MastersValerion vs Heretics AcademyValerion28.6%0.211.1umiss -1.12u
09-28 16:00EMEA MastersAnubis Gaming vs SkillcampAnubis Gaming41.0%0.341.2uHIT +2.36u
09-28 09:00WSCIkt Challengers vs GalionsGalions72.8%0.385.0uHIT +8.33u
09-27 19:00EMEA MastersGamespace M.C. vs MAGAZAMAGAZA48.8%0.352.6uHIT +4.67u
09-27 18:00EMEA MastersUCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp BlueUCAM Esports Club41.4%0.302.0umiss -1.96u
09-27 17:00EMEA MastersLODIS vs Frites Esports ClubFrites Esports Club60.3%0.473.2uHIT +3.70u
09-27 16:00EMEA MastersBOMBA Team vs TLN PiratesBOMBA Team23.4%0.170.9umiss -0.89u
09-27 16:00CBLOLLOUD vs LOSLOS67.2%0.592.4uHIT +1.62u
09-27 09:00WSCIDplus KIA Challengers vs DNS ChallengersDNS Challengers47.4%0.233.9uHIT +12.71u
09-27 06:00WSCIMovistar KOI Fénix vs SolarySolary91.1%0.745.0uHIT +1.71u
09-26 20:00LCSShopify Rebellion vs LYONLYON98.2%0.905.0uHIT +0.59u
09-26 19:00EMEA MastersThe Secret Club vs Anubis GamingAnubis Gaming88.8%0.834.0uHIT +0.80u
09-26 19:00EMEA MastersGamespace M.C. vs BOMBA TeamBOMBA Team73.5%0.682.3uHIT +1.11u
09-26 18:00EMEA MastersForsaken vs G2 NORDG2 NORD90.0%0.844.4uHIT +0.81u
09-26 17:00EMEA MastersUCAM Esports Club vs HMBLEHMBLE26.5%0.201.1umiss -1.09u
09-26 17:00EMEA MastersSenshi eSports vs Bushido WildcatsSenshi eSports23.8%0.141.5uHIT +9.53u
09-26 16:00EMEA MastersJSK Gamefy vs Barça EsportsJSK Gamefy28.3%0.201.2uHIT +4.75u
09-26 16:00CBLOLRED Kalunga vs FURIAFURIA95.6%0.835.0uHIT +0.99u
09-26 16:00EMEA MastersValerion vs LODISValerion61.9%0.522.7uHIT +2.53u
09-24 10:00WSCIT1 Esports Academy vs FUEGOFUEGO17.5%0.101.0umiss -0.98u
09-24 06:00WSCIDNS Challengers vs T1 Esports AcademyDNS Challengers41.9%0.292.2umiss -2.20u
09-23 17:00EMEA MastersCITA Kaizen vs Otter SideCITA Kaizen50.2%0.402.2umiss -2.21u
09-22 18:00EMEA MastersArctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV Esports47.7%0.273.6uHIT +9.98u
09-22 15:00EMEA MastersGamespace M.C. vs Barça EsportsBarça Esports84.3%0.705.0uHIT +2.09u
09-22 13:00WSCIDNS Challengers vs FUEGOFUEGO24.9%0.072.4uHIT +29.00u
09-22 08:00WSCIT1 Esports Academy vs FUEGOFUEGO17.5%0.061.6umiss -1.58u
09-22 06:00WSCIMovistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming JuniorMovistar KOI Fénix81.0%0.475.0uHIT +5.75u
09-21 18:00EMEA MastersPyramid IV Esports vs LODISPyramid IV Esports41.0%0.242.7umiss -2.73u
09-21 08:00WSCIGalions vs Saigon WarriorGalions93.0%0.715.0uHIT +1.99u
09-20 20:00LCSTeam Liquid Alienware vs FlyQuestTeam Liquid Alienware80.8%0.762.7uHIT +0.87u
09-20 15:00LECG2 Esports vs Movistar KOIG2 Esports77.1%0.693.1uHIT +1.36u
09-20 07:00WSCIDNS Challengers vs FUEGOFUEGO24.9%0.092.2umiss -2.24u
09-19 20:00LCSLYON vs Cloud9 KiaLYON84.1%0.783.7umiss -3.67u
09-18 09:00LPLXi'an Team WE vs Beijing JDG EsportsBeijing JDG Esports67.5%0.612.0uHIT +1.23u
09-16 16:00Arabian LeaguePyramid IV Esports vs JSK GamefyPyramid IV Esports62.1%0.325.0umiss -5.00u
09-16 14:00Hitpoint MasterseSuba vs UP2U MeavedroneSuba62.2%0.384.9uHIT +8.23u
09-15 16:00Road of LegendsSenshi eSports vs mCon EsportsmCon Esports40.0%0.341.2umiss -1.23u
09-15 16:00Arabian LeagueAnubis Gaming vs JSK GamefyAnubis Gaming95.7%0.895.0uHIT +0.62u
09-15 14:00Hitpoint MastersCITA Kaizen vs NightBirdsNightBirds95.2%0.845.0uHIT +0.92u
09-14 16:00NLCVerdant vs Arctic PandasVerdant77.8%0.635.0uHIT +2.94u
09-14 14:00Hitpoint MastersEXILE Esports vs eSubaeSuba87.9%0.565.0uHIT +4.01u
09-14 08:00LCK ChallengersDK Challengers vs kt Challengerskt Challengers66.3%0.494.2uHIT +4.24u
09-13 18:00Liga PortuguesaWhite Dragons vs Otter SideWhite Dragons49.8%0.451.2uHIT +1.47u
09-13 09:00VCSSaigon 1TAP DINO vs Saigon WarriorSaigon Warrior94.1%0.695.0uHIT +2.25u
09-13 05:00LCKGen.G Esports vs Hanwha Life EsportsHanwha Life Esports46.7%0.362.0umiss -2.00u
09-12 20:00LCSShopify Rebellion vs Cloud9 KiaCloud9 Kia87.3%0.813.9uHIT +0.89u
09-12 15:00LECTeam Vitality vs Movistar KOIMovistar KOI69.3%0.494.9uHIT +5.01u
09-11 14:30TCLPCIFIC Esports vs Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats51.6%0.431.9uHIT +2.50u
09-11 12:00VCSSaigon Warrior vs Saigon 9Gaming EsportsSaigon Warrior95.3%0.845.0umiss -5.00u
09-10 18:00Liga PortuguesaBubliki vs Dominion GoblinsBubliki96.9%0.855.0uHIT +0.85u
09-10 16:00Road of LegendsSenshi eSports vs The BanditsSenshi eSports38.6%0.331.1uHIT +2.34u

Card next 48h · wager = 1/8-Kelly on 100u · % to win = model for that side, shrunk toward the Polymarket mid (raw model in grey) · edge = shrunk vs the ask, raw in grey · Poly price = the ask you pay · bid-ask = book width on that side (red at ≥ 2¢, where the quote stops counting) · spread = main game handicap, model P(cover) vs Polymarket · thin = a side with under 10 OE games in 180d is display-only · ⚠ whale = a top holder on the other side with ≥ $50k LoL pnl · depth = $ within 4¢ of the touch · a Polymarket quote only counts with spread < 2¢ and > $100 behind it · click a match for maps and score markets

start (UTC)matchBOwager% to winPoly pricebid-askedgespreaddepthleagueflags
11-13 06:00
Saigon Warrior vs DetonatioN FocusMe
bet price: model shrunk toward the Polymarket mid, k 0.50 (league unmapped) → Saigon Warrior series 63.4%
model: Saigon Warrior wins a map 62.9%, the series 73.0% · sweep 34.3% · distance 30.0% · E[maps] 3.96
Polymarket: Saigon Warrior bid 0.52 ask 0.53 · DetonatioN FocusMe bid 0.47 ask 0.48 · mid 0.525 · captured 2026-11-12 15:34
recent games (180d): Saigon Warrior 46 · DetonatioN FocusMe 16
score marketoutcomemodelPMedgedepth
DetonatioN FocusMe -1.5DetonatioN FocusMe15.8%——$14
DetonatioN FocusMe -2.5DetonatioN FocusMe6.3%——$19
O/U 3.5Over65.7%——$34
O/U 3.5Under34.3%——$19
O/U 4.5Over30.0%——$37
O/U 4.5Under70.0%——$75
Saigon Warriors +1.5Saigon Warriors84.2%——$82
Saigon Warriors +2.5Saigon Warriors93.7%——$923
score-market edges are only highlighted with ≥ $500 at the touch; a 50% mid on a 0.07/0.93 book is a placeholder, not a price
5✓ 2.7u on Saigon Warrior @ 0.54
placed 11-12 14:05 UTC · edge +9.8 then		63.4% (73.0%)0.531¢+10.4% (+20.0%)DetonatioN FocusMe −1.5
15.8% vs PM not counted		$976LCP P&R
11-14 19:00
Gen.G Esports vs BILIBILI GAMING
bet price: model shrunk toward the Polymarket mid, k 0.25 (international) → Gen.G Esports series 68.9%
model: Gen.G Esports wins a map 70.1%, the series 83.8% · sweep 41.3% · distance 24.2% · E[maps] 3.83
Polymarket: Gen.G Esports bid 0.62 ask 0.63 · BILIBILI GAMING bid 0.37 ask 0.38 · mid 0.625 · captured 2026-11-12 15:34
recent games (180d): Gen.G Esports 75 · BILIBILI GAMING 98
score marketoutcomemodelPMedgedepth
Bilibili Gaming +1.5Bilibili Gaming33.1%56.5%-23.4%$556,027
Bilibili Gaming +2.5Bilibili Gaming62.0%80.5%-18.5%$483,949
Gen.G -1.5Gen.G66.9%43.5%+23.4%$408,662
Gen.G -2.5Gen.G38.0%19.5%+18.5%$115,348
O/U 3.5Over58.7%72.5%-13.8%$781,165
O/U 3.5Under41.3%27.5%+13.8%$274,542
O/U 4.5Over24.2%34.5%-10.3%$256,744
O/U 4.5Under75.8%65.5%+10.3%$471,199
score-market edges are only highlighted with ≥ $500 at the touch; a 50% mid on a 0.07/0.93 book is a placeholder, not a price
5watching · lean Gen.G Esports68.9% (83.8%)0.631¢+5.9% (+20.8%)Gen.G −1.5
66.9% vs PM 43.5% (+23.4)		$3,100,929Worldsbets open 48h before start

Bets last 40 placed · price = the ask paid · close = Polymarket close for that side

placed (UTC)startleaguematchsidemodelaskedgestakecloseresult
11-12 14:0511-13 06:00LCP P&RSaigon Warrior vs DetonatioN FocusMeSaigon Warrior63.8% (73.0%)0.54+9.82.7u—pending
11-09 15:2011-11 09:00LCP P&RGround Zero Gaming vs Frank EsportsFrank Esports28.2% (43.9%)0.17+11.21.7u0.20miss -1.69u
11-07 02:3511-08 22:00WorldsT1 vs BILIBILI GAMINGT149.8% (68.0%)0.44+5.81.3u0.44miss -1.30u
11-05 22:0511-07 22:00WorldsGen.G Esports vs Invictus GamingGen.G Esports86.4% (95.8%)0.81+5.43.5u0.80HIT +0.83u
10-28 20:5010-29 20:00Worlds Group StageMovistar KOI vs T1T186.1% (92.6%)0.76+10.15.0u—pending
10-26 21:2010-26 22:00Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid vs Anyone's LegendAnyone's Legend69.0% (75.7%)0.62+7.02.3u0.40void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-26 21:20 UTC, match live from 2026-10-26 20:50 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=False pnl=-2.32
10-26 17:3510-26 18:00Worlds Group StageT1 vs CTBC Flying OysterT189.6% (94.8%)0.81+8.65.0u1.00void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-26 17:35 UTC, match live from 2026-10-26 17:00 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=True pnl=1.1728
10-25 17:5010-25 18:00Worlds Group StageHanwha Life vs InvictusHanwha Life57.0% (78.5%)0.33+24.04.5u—void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-25 17:50 UTC, match live from 2026-10-25 16:50 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=False pnl=-4.47
10-25 01:5010-25 22:00Worlds Group StageDplus Kia vs Movistar KOIDplus Kia83.5% (89.3%)0.76+7.53.9u1.00HIT +1.23u
10-25 01:5010-25 19:00Worlds Group StageGen G vs LYONGen G93.2% (96.4%)0.88+5.25.0u0.92HIT +0.68u
10-24 21:3510-24 22:00Worlds Group StageInvictus vs Secret WhalesInvictus64.2% (69.6%)0.59+5.21.6u0.89void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-24 21:35 UTC, match live from 2026-10-24 21:00 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=True pnl=1.1049
10-24 19:3510-24 21:00Worlds Group StageG2 vs LOSG276.3% (81.2%)0.71+5.32.3u—void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-24 19:35 UTC, match live from 2026-10-24 19:00 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=True pnl=0.9272
10-24 17:3510-24 23:00Worlds Group StageTop Esports vs Anyone's LegendAnyone's Legend45.6% (58.2%)0.34+11.62.2u—void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-24 17:35 UTC, match live from 2026-10-24 17:00 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=False pnl=-2.19
10-23 19:3510-24 00:00Worlds Group StageBilibili vs Movistar KOIBilibili71.0% (81.0%)0.59+12.03.7u—void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-23 19:35 UTC, match live from 2026-10-23 19:00 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=False pnl=-3.66
10-23 18:5010-23 21:00Worlds Group StageHanwha Life vs Top EsportsTop Esports8.3% (24.3%)0.03+5.30.7u0.00void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-23 18:50 UTC, match live from 2026-10-23 18:00 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=False pnl=-0.69
10-17 22:0510-18 18:00WorldsKarmine Corp vs MVK EsportsKarmine Corp94.2% (99.6%)0.88+6.25.0u0.88HIT +0.68u
10-17 00:5010-17 18:00WorldsMVK Esports vs FURIAFURIA74.2% (93.7%)0.63+11.23.8u0.65miss -3.78u
10-16 20:5010-16 23:00Worlds Play-InFURIA vs Cloud 9FURIA23.2% (31.5%)0.17+6.20.9u0.30HIT +4.54u
10-16 02:5010-16 18:00WorldsKarmine Corp vs MVK EsportsKarmine Corp90.2% (98.8%)0.82+8.25.0u0.85HIT +1.10u
10-15 18:5010-15 23:00Worlds Play-InCloud 9 vs Karmine CorpKarmine Corp69.1% (76.6%)0.61+8.12.6u0.95void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-15 18:50 UTC, match live from 2026-10-15 18:00 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=True pnl=1.6687
10-13 18:0510-15 18:00Worlds Play-InFURIA vs MVK EsportsFURIA81.7% (87.3%)0.75+7.13.5u0.76miss -3.51u
10-13 15:1010-15 09:00DCGIHANJIN BRION vs Xi'an Team WEHANJIN BRION60.7%0.46+14.73.4u0.56miss -3.40u
10-12 17:0510-14 09:00DCGIkt Rolster vs BNK FEARXBNK FEARX49.0%0.35+14.02.7u0.42HIT +5.00u
10-12 06:5010-12 09:00Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsKT Rolster vs Team VitalityKT Rolster92.5%0.77+15.55.0u0.56void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-12 06:50 UTC, match live from 2026-10-12 05:50 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=True pnl=1.4935
10-11 17:3510-12 23:00LCS PromotionDisguised vs Maryville UniversityMaryville University45.6%0.39+6.61.4u0.41miss -1.36u
10-11 09:0510-13 09:00DCGIHANJIN BRION vs LGD GAMINGHANJIN BRION65.5%0.47+18.54.4u0.49HIT +4.92u
10-11 06:0510-13 06:00DCGIXi'an Team WE vs FlyQuestXi'an Team WE87.1%0.79+8.14.8u0.80HIT +1.28u
10-10 09:2010-10 21:00LCS PromotionDisguised vs Cupid EsportsCupid Esports51.0%0.29+22.03.9u0.36miss -3.88u
10-10 06:0510-12 06:00Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBNK FEARX vs JD GamingBNK FEARX80.7%0.68+12.75.0u0.67HIT +2.33u
10-09 20:3510-10 16:00EMEA MastersAnubis Gaming vs Karmine Corp BlueAnubis Gaming47.2%0.22+25.24.0u0.18HIT +14.32u
10-09 09:2010-09 16:00EMEA MastersTLN Pirates vs Movistar KOI FénixMovistar KOI Fénix48.6%0.43+5.61.2u0.43HIT +1.62u
10-09 00:2010-10 16:00EMEA MastersG2 NORD vs SolaryG2 NORD31.5%0.20+11.51.8u0.16miss -1.79u
10-08 21:3510-09 21:00LCS PromotionDisguised vs FUEGOFUEGO23.0%0.12+11.01.6u0.14miss -1.56u
10-08 10:2510-08 21:00LCS PromotionMaryville University vs Cupid EsportsMaryville University44.5%0.35+9.51.8u0.33HIT +3.38u
10-07 15:0510-08 11:00DCGIFlyQuest vs RED KalungaFlyQuest90.6%0.83+7.65.0u1.00HIT +1.02u
10-07 14:5010-08 09:00DCGINatus Vincere vs Beijing JDG EsportsNatus Vincere31.8%0.26+5.81.0u0.27miss -0.97u
10-07 10:3510-07 11:00Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageFlyQuest vs Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion35.3%0.27+8.31.4u0.11void: placed in-play: bet 2026-10-07 10:35 UTC, match live from 2026-10-07 10:05 UTC (PM gameStartTime late); was result=False pnl=-1.42
10-07 01:3510-07 16:00EMEA MastersAnubis Gaming vs Ruddy CorporationRuddy Corporation30.4%0.15+15.42.3u0.18miss -2.26u
10-06 22:2010-07 21:00LCS PromotionMaryville University vs DisguisedMaryville University45.6%0.30+15.62.8u0.26HIT +6.49u
10-06 16:2010-07 16:00EMEA MastersKaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns of Love Sexy EditionUnicorns of Love Sexy Edition58.6%0.39+19.64.0u0.40miss -4.01u

Recent results last 40 scored · ● = traded (counts in the scoreboard) · model = price logged pre-start · CLV = close moved toward the model's side

start (UTC)leaguematchmodel T1PM at publishPM closeCLVwinner
● 11-11 09:00LCP P&RFrank Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming43.9%—20.0%—Ground Zero Gaming
○ 11-10 09:00LCP P&RSaigon Warrior vs Team Gromp ——97.5%—Saigon Warrior
○ 11-10 05:00LCP P&RFENNEL vs Nothin'Here——94.5%—Nothin'Here
● 11-08 22:00WorldsBILIBILI GAMING vs T132.0%55.5%56.5%-1.0BILIBILI GAMING
● 11-07 22:00WorldsGen.G Esports vs Invictus Gaming95.8%80.5%76.5%-4.0Gen.G Esports
○ 11-06 22:00WorldsT1 vs Karmine Corp92.9%—82.5%—T1
○ 11-05 22:00WorldsBILIBILI GAMING vs Dplus KIA43.8%—58.5%—BILIBILI GAMING
○ 11-04 22:00WorldsGen.G Esports vs LYON98.3%90.5%91.5%+1.0Gen.G Esports
○ 11-03 22:00WorldsInvictus Gaming vs TOP ESPORTS50.6%53.5%55.5%-2.0Invictus Gaming
○ 10-31 23:00WorldsBILIBILI GAMING vs Hanwha Life Esports35.8%40.5%67.5%-27.0BILIBILI GAMING
○ 10-31 20:00WorldsLYON vs LOS71.9%74.5%76.5%-2.0LYON
○ 10-31 17:00WorldsKarmine Corp vs Movistar KOI65.9%59.5%72.5%+13.0Karmine Corp
○ 10-30 23:00WorldsG2 Esports vs Hanwha Life Esports15.5%21.5%21.5%+0.0Hanwha Life Esports
○ 10-30 20:00WorldsLOS vs Team Liquid Alienware24.9%19.5%19.5%+0.0LOS
○ 10-29 23:00WorldsBILIBILI GAMING vs TOP ESPORTS77.5%—75.5%—TOP ESPORTS
○ 10-29 20:00WorldsKarmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster94.6%81.5%100.0%+18.5Karmine Corp
○ 10-28 23:00WorldsLYON vs Invictus Gaming38.1%33.5%17.5%-16.0Invictus Gaming
○ 10-28 20:00WorldsT1 vs Movistar KOI93.4%85.5%——T1
○ 10-26 22:00WorldsAnyone's Legend vs Team Liquid Alienware75.6%71.5%39.5%-32.0Team Liquid Alienware
○ 10-26 19:00WorldsTeam Secret Whales vs LOS60.3%65.5%68.5%-3.0LOS
○ 10-26 18:00WorldsBILIBILI GAMING vs Karmine Corp70.2%70.5%70.5%-0.0BILIBILI GAMING
● 10-26 17:00WorldsT1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster94.8%88.5%100.0%+11.5T1
● 10-25 22:00WorldsLYON vs Gen.G Esports4.2%9.5%8.5%+1.0Gen.G Esports
● 10-25 19:00WorldsMovistar KOI vs Dplus KIA13.1%23.5%0.0%+23.5Dplus KIA
○ 10-25 18:00WorldsTOP ESPORTS vs G2 Esports45.7%47.5%47.5%-0.0TOP ESPORTS
● 10-25 17:00WorldsInvictus Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports23.0%27.5%——Invictus Gaming
○ 10-25 00:00WorldsTeam Liquid Alienware vs BILIBILI GAMING22.1%24.5%24.5%-0.0BILIBILI GAMING
○ 10-24 23:00WorldsDplus KIA vs T143.0%43.5%43.5%-0.0Dplus KIA
○ 10-24 22:00WorldsHanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G Esports43.2%42.5%36.5%-6.0Gen.G Esports
● 10-24 21:00WorldsTeam Secret Whales vs Invictus Gaming31.8%30.5%11.5%-19.0Invictus Gaming
○ 10-24 20:00WorldsKarmine Corp vs LYON57.0%54.5%55.5%+1.0LYON
● 10-24 19:00WorldsLOS vs G2 Esports20.1%18.5%——G2 Esports
○ 10-24 18:00WorldsMovistar KOI vs CTBC Flying Oyster77.8%68.5%68.5%+0.0Movistar KOI
● 10-24 17:00WorldsTOP ESPORTS vs Anyone's Legend41.3%36.5%——TOP ESPORTS
○ 10-24 00:00WorldsLYON vs Team Secret Whales61.9%58.5%57.5%-1.0LYON
○ 10-23 23:00WorldsLOS vs T18.5%12.5%12.5%-0.0T1
○ 10-23 22:00WorldsTeam Liquid Alienware vs CTBC Flying Oyster77.7%71.5%73.5%+2.0CTBC Flying Oyster
○ 10-23 21:00WorldsDplus KIA vs G2 Esports66.7%60.5%60.5%+0.0Dplus KIA
○ 10-23 20:00WorldsKarmine Corp vs Anyone's Legend33.8%35.5%34.5%+1.0Karmine Corp
● 10-23 19:00WorldsMovistar KOI vs BILIBILI GAMING19.8%19.5%——Movistar KOI

Nightly 2026-11-12 · 16 steps, 0 failed · 1 warnings

Model: per-player Stephenson ratings + region meta → calibrated per-map logistic → BO3/BO5 series layer with a momentum term (δ 0.170). Runs on the Mac against Oracle's Elixir + Leaguepedia; this page is a published snapshot. Rendered 2026-11-12 15:56 UTC, auto-refreshes every 5 min.